Mark van Kleunen

Abstract Background and aims Since its emergence in the mid‐20th century, invasion biology has matured into a productive research field addressing questions of fundamental and applied importance. Not only has the number of empirical studies increased through time, but also has the number of competing, overlapping and, in some cases, contradictory hypotheses about biological invasions. To make these contradictions and redundancies explicit, and to gain insight into the field’s current theoretical structure, we developed and applied a Delphi approach to create a consensus network of 39 existing invasion hypotheses. Results The resulting network was analysed with a link‐clustering algorithm that revealed five concept clusters (resource availability, biotic interaction, propagule, trait and Darwin’s clusters) representing complementary areas in the theory of invasion biology. The network also displays hypotheses that link two or more clusters, called connecting hypotheses , which are important in determining network structure. The network indicates hypotheses that are logically linked either positively (77 connections of support) or negatively (that is, they contradict each other; 6 connections). Significance The network visually synthesizes how invasion biology’s predominant hypotheses are conceptually related to each other, and thus, reveals an emergent structure – a conceptual map – that can serve as a navigation tool for scholars, practitioners and students, both inside and outside of the field of invasion biology, and guide the development of a more coherent foundation of theory. Additionally, the outlined approach can be more widely applied to create a conceptual map for the larger fields of ecology and biogeography.

Expansion and decline of species are natural phenomena (Levin, 2000). However, owing to the increasing infl uence of humans worldwide, the processes driving expansion and decline have speeded up dramatically. Hence, we have the current biodiversity crisis. Humanmediated forces are making some species rarer (ie, driving them towards extinction) while at the same time making some species expand their ranges (‘invasive’ sensu Richardson et al., 2000). Undisputedly, the immediate causes for extinction of native species and invasiveness of aliens are extrinsic factors, such as habitat destruction and climate change. However, the ultimate causes have to be ecological and life-history characteristics of species (Kotiaho et al., 2005). Therefore, important research directions in conservation biology and invasion biology are the analyses of species traits associated with rarity (Murray et al., 2002) and invasiveness (Pyšek and Richardson, 2007), respectively. The first are important for prioritizing conservation efforts, and the second are important for prioritizing eradication efforts and the development of screening protocols of potential invasiveness of species considered for introduction to other regions. Unravelling the links between species traits and extrinsic factors is highly complex, particularly because assessment of the causes of rarity and invasiveness relies mainly on retrospective analyses since large-scale controlled experiments are often not feasible (Richardson et al., 2004). However, with the increasing availability of large, widely accessible databases and analytical approaches (eg, Wilson et al., 2007), it is becoming easier to test which traits are associated with rarity and invasiveness, and under which conditions.